The upcoming European elections have been the subject of much commentary and prediction. Many forecasts expect gains for right-wing parties, while centrist parties are expected to lose seats. But will the Right truly become more influential? Who will ultimately hold power in the European Parliament? To understand the context of these elections, our outlook provides […]
Expert insight and updates on the news and events that matter.
Geopolitical Risk Update for Q4 2023
Looking ahead: Geopolitical Risks going into the fourth quarter The brutal terrorist attacks launched by Hamas last Saturday morning are a powerful reminder as to how geopolitical shifts can trigger deep and unresolved conflicts to erupt taking even the most sophisticated intelligence service by surprise. Diplomatic initiatives by the US to broker an accord between […]
Nie budujemy IV Rzeszy – Ein Aufruf zur Wiederbelebung des deutsch-polnischen Dialogs von Arndt Freytag von Loringhoven
Die einst so umstrittene Oder-Neiße-Grenze, ist heute für die meisten Menschen in Deutschland und Polen kaum mehr als eine geografische Linie auf der Landkarte. Doch trotz der geografischen Nähe leben diese beiden Länder oft in getrennten Informationsblasen, ohne ein wirkliches Verständnis füreinander zu entwickeln. Am 4. Oktober 2023 erscheint das Buch “Nie budujemy IV Rzeszy” […]
ECB Policy Brief: You can call this stagflation
The ECB’s decision today confirms last week’s policy brief (see below): It raised the key interest rates to underline its determination to fight inflation and has given clear guidance on how it intends to act in the time ahead. The statement reads: “Based on its current assessment, the Governing Council considers that the key ECB […]
Briefing on Germany’s first ever China Strategy
Key Takeaways Germany’s first-ever China strategy aims to balance diplomatic engagement with de-risking its economic relationship in close coordination with the EU. The China strategy calls on businesses to take into account geopolitical risks in their business decisions and appraise China-related risks as part of their risk management processes. The German Government supports key instruments […]
Prigozhin’s Failed Challenge to Putin’s Power
BGA Briefing on Prigozhin’s challenge to Putin’s power and the trends shaping the Ukraine War Key Takeaways: Prigozhin’s failed assault seriously challenges Putin’s grip on power, which depends on him demonstrating to his people and the world, that he is the strong, uncontested leader, guaranteeing order, security and stability, in control of patronage networks and […]
