Berlin | London | New York

Geopolitical Risk & Investment Advisory

Berlin Global Advisors

Berlin Global Advisors (BGA) is an international advisory firm specializing in geopolitical risk analysis, political due dilligence and private diplomacy for investors.

Our focus is on complex investment situations and transactions where international political and regulatory dynamics play a critical role and impact mergers & acquisitions, equity and credit markets, IPOs or foreign direct investments. 

Our geopolitical risk analysis and political due diligence teams offer specialist research on international security, country risks, global trade, policies affecting the energy, infrastructure, transport or technology markets, merger control regimes, FDI screening processes or cyber / data governance. 

Our Private Foreign Service team supports clients navigating the decision-making processes in Berlin, Paris, London, Brussels, Washington, Beijing, Tokyo, Delhi or Riyadh to defend or promote their interests in these and other capitals.

We can deliver these services globally through a unique platform that we have been building over a decade: BGA Partners in Berlin, London and New York with long experience in asset management and investment banking manage 30 Advisors and more than 200 Associates and curate bespoke teams for each individual client situation from this group. BGA Advisors bring in their experience and network from key positions they held in diplomacy, government, military, think tanks and regulatory bodies in Europe, the U.S., Asia and Africa. BGA Associates are vetted policy and regulatory experts that support us on the ground in all major markets on a need basis.

This combination is unique and sets us apart from other policy advisory firms.

We think like investors, work like diplomats and act as entrepreneurs.
Our mission: Help clients generate Political Alpha

Berlin Global Advisors

Reasons clients hire BGA

  • Understand geopolitical risks to businesses and investments in an increasingly uncertain and multi-polar world
  • Reduce external risks in M&A, Foreign Direct Investments, international joint ventures or IPOs
  • Navigate political and regulatory risks impacting equity, credit, currency and commodities markets
  • Integrate international political risk management into business operations to protect value chains
  • Defend business interests in Berlin, Brussels, Washington, Beijing and other G20 capitals
  • Comply with increasing demand from financial markets and authorities to manage political risks proactively
  • Stay on top of Environmental, Social & Governance policies as ESG will become a driving force for institutional investment strategies
  • Gain access to Germany as the largest EU economy and Berlin emerging as “the new Washington”

Services

Political Due Diligence

  • International trade & investment policy: tariffs, sanctions, export controls, FDI screening, embargoes
  • M&A: political factors influencing approval by governments, EU Commission, DoJ/CFIUS.
  • Regulatory risks: energy, transport, finance (banks/insurance/FinTech), infrastructure, healthcare, real estate
  • Cyber threats and risks assessments
  • Macro policy: Euro area, U.S., China
  • German Policy: EU reform, Macron/Merkel, Berlin’s position on Italy, Greece, Transatlantic Relations, financial regulation, fiscal policy, budget, labour laws etc.
  • Scenarios and strategic foresight on long term issues and developments

Private Diplomacy

  • Deal Advisory: Provide support for clients engaged in direct investments, equity, debt, distressed, M&A, activist situations
  • Trade: Access to decision-makers, institutions, alliance building
  • Crisis Support: Negotiations with governments and authorities; mediation & conflict resolution
  • Business development: Identification of investment opportunities, bid support with public tenders, working with governments
  • ESG (Environmental, Social & Governance): Advising asset managers and boards on corporate governance and long term shareholder value.
  • Strategic Positioning: Meeting programs, curated events, outreach.

Geopolitical Risk Analysis

BGA provides analysis and foresight on the most critical geopolitical risks to investors & business summarized below

  • Trade Wars
  • FDI Restrictions
  • Cyber Attacks
  • Terrorism
  • Energy Security
  • Protectionism
  • Major Power Conflict
  • „America First“
  • Protectionism
  • Tariffs on imports
  • “National Interests” in FDI and merger approval
  • Sanction policies
  • U.S.-China relations
  • Brexit
  • Stricter FDI rules
  • Turkey
  • Italian banks
  • Rising populism
  • Conflict between Saudi-Arabia and Iran
  • War Syria and Iraq
  • Instability in Egypt, Algeria, North Africa
  • Islamic State
  • Conflict with Ukraine
  • NATO tensions
  • Energy security
  • Caucasus
  • Cyber / hybrid warfare
  • Internal stability
  • One Belt, One Road power projection
  • South China Sea
  • National champion policy
  • Hunt for resources
  • Digital surveillance
  • Nuclear threat to South Korea
  • Global value chain implications