On September 10th, the president of the EU commission, Ursula von der Leyen gave her yearly State of the European Union address.   The speech took place in a week where on Sunday the Romanian government survived four confidence votes over a mild cut of a 8,6% budget deficit, where on Monday the French government […]

This year’s MSC may go down in history as another geopolitical turning point having taken place in the Bavarian capital.  In our MSC review and 2025 geopolitical outlook “Present at destruction?” BGA Managing Partner, Martin Wiesmann and Director for Geopolitics, Moritz Lütgerath ask whether we are witnessing the self-destruction of the US-led international system and provide an outlook for what […]

The upcoming European elections have been the subject of much commentary and prediction. Many forecasts expect gains for right-wing parties, while centrist parties are expected to lose seats. But will the Right truly become more influential? Who will ultimately hold power in the European Parliament? To understand the context of these elections, our outlook provides […]

Looking ahead: Geopolitical Risks going into the fourth quarter The brutal terrorist attacks launched by Hamas last Saturday morning are a powerful reminder as to how geopolitical shifts can trigger deep and unresolved conflicts to erupt taking even the most sophisticated intelligence service by surprise. Diplomatic initiatives by the US to broker an accord between […]

Die einst so umstrittene Oder-Neiße-Grenze, ist heute für die meisten Menschen in Deutschland und Polen kaum mehr als eine geografische Linie auf der Landkarte. Doch trotz der geografischen Nähe leben diese beiden Länder oft in getrennten Informationsblasen, ohne ein wirkliches Verständnis füreinander zu entwickeln. Am 4. Oktober 2023 erscheint das Buch “Nie budujemy IV Rzeszy” […]

The ECB’s decision today confirms last week’s policy brief (see below): It raised the key interest rates to underline its determination to fight inflation and has given clear guidance on how it intends to act in the time ahead. The statement reads: “Based on its current assessment, the Governing Council considers that the key ECB […]