Politics

BGA Cable: Germany

  A minority government in Germany?  With the collapse of the “Jamaica“ negotiations, BGA now sees a 40% probability of new elections in March or April 2018 (up from 25%).  BGA estimates a 40% likelihood for a CDU/Merkel-led minority government supported by SPD, Greens and/or FDP.   Other potential outcomes and their respective probabilities: 10% for a Merkel-led …

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